Météo-France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris today under persistent overcast skies and a cool air mass over Île-de-France, aligning with trader consensus at 52% implied probability and driving the market lead. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles cluster outputs at 12.5–13.5°C, reflecting suppressed daytime heating from extensive cloud cover and light winds, well below the April climatological average of 15°C. Recent overnight model runs confirmed this subdued trajectory amid a broader pattern of unsettled spring weather, with minimal divergence across guidance. As the day unfolds, hourly observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will pinpoint the peak, though inherent forecast uncertainty leaves room for minor shifts if clouds thin unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
13°C 47%
12°C 26%
14°C 22%
11°C 5.9%
$88,654 交易量
$88,654 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
26%
13°C
47%
14°C
22%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 47%
12°C 26%
14°C 22%
11°C 5.9%
$88,654 交易量
$88,654 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
26%
13°C
47%
14°C
22%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Météo-France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris today under persistent overcast skies and a cool air mass over Île-de-France, aligning with trader consensus at 52% implied probability and driving the market lead. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles cluster outputs at 12.5–13.5°C, reflecting suppressed daytime heating from extensive cloud cover and light winds, well below the April climatological average of 15°C. Recent overnight model runs confirmed this subdued trajectory amid a broader pattern of unsettled spring weather, with minimal divergence across guidance. As the day unfolds, hourly observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will pinpoint the peak, though inherent forecast uncertainty leaves room for minor shifts if clouds thin unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions