Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a shift from recent cool, unsettled conditions featuring low pressure systems and showers across Île-de-France. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 16°C at 30.5% and 17°C at 23.5% implied probabilities, driven by anticipated high pressure building southeastward, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover reducing solar heating variability. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and residual soil moisture from prior rain, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow brief surges to 17–18°C under clearer skies. New 12Z model runs tomorrow will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 33%
17°C 19%
14°C or below 16%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
16%
15°C
12%
16°C
33%
17°C
19%
18°C
15%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 33%
17°C 19%
14°C or below 16%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
$318 交易量
16%
15°C
$161 交易量
12%
16°C
$339 交易量
33%
17°C
$185 交易量
19%
18°C
$263 交易量
15%
19°C
$917 交易量
9%
20°C
$170 交易量
3%
21°C
$118 交易量
2%
22°C
$164 交易量
1%
23°C
$140 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$481 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a shift from recent cool, unsettled conditions featuring low pressure systems and showers across Île-de-France. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 16°C at 30.5% and 17°C at 23.5% implied probabilities, driven by anticipated high pressure building southeastward, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover reducing solar heating variability. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and residual soil moisture from prior rain, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow brief surges to 17–18°C under clearer skies. New 12Z model runs tomorrow will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$3,255結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a shift from recent cool, unsettled conditions featuring low pressure systems and showers across Île-de-France. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 16°C at 30.5% and 17°C at 23.5% implied probabilities, driven by anticipated high pressure building southeastward, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover reducing solar heating variability. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and residual soil moisture from prior rain, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow brief surges to 17–18°C under clearer skies. New 12Z model runs tomorrow will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,255結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETLatest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a shift from recent cool, unsettled conditions featuring low pressure systems and showers across Île-de-France. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 16°C at 30.5% and 17°C at 23.5% implied probabilities, driven by anticipated high pressure building southeastward, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover reducing solar heating variability. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and residual soil moisture from prior rain, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow brief surges to 17–18°C under clearer skies. New 12Z model runs tomorrow will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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