Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model ensembles project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 14-15°C, reflecting trader sentiment with 30% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 15°C amid genuine forecast uncertainty. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering Atlantic moisture plume cap daytime heating, while partial sun breaks could nudge peaks toward 15-16°C; conversely, thicker overcast favors 13°C. Recent developments include a shift from milder early-April conditions (13-15°C on April 1) to cooler northerly flows, aligning with seasonal norms of 14-16°C averages. New 12z GFS and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours may refine this spread before resolution based on official Paris observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月5日巴黎最高溫度？
4月5日巴黎最高溫度？
14°C 33%
15°C 24%
13°C 19%
16°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
19%
14°C
33%
15°C
24%
16°C
17%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
1%
14°C 33%
15°C 24%
13°C 19%
16°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
10°C或以下
$742 交易量
<1%
11°C
$515 交易量
1%
12°C
$482 交易量
4%
13°C
$752 交易量
19%
14°C
$747 交易量
33%
15°C
$523 交易量
24%
16°C
$1,065 交易量
17%
17°C
$910 交易量
5%
18°C
$360 交易量
2%
19°C
$309 交易量
2%
20°C或以上
$347 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model ensembles project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 14-15°C, reflecting trader sentiment with 30% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 15°C amid genuine forecast uncertainty. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering Atlantic moisture plume cap daytime heating, while partial sun breaks could nudge peaks toward 15-16°C; conversely, thicker overcast favors 13°C. Recent developments include a shift from milder early-April conditions (13-15°C on April 1) to cooler northerly flows, aligning with seasonal norms of 14-16°C averages. New 12z GFS and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours may refine this spread before resolution based on official Paris observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$6,751結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model ensembles project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 14-15°C, reflecting trader sentiment with 30% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 15°C amid genuine forecast uncertainty. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering Atlantic moisture plume cap daytime heating, while partial sun breaks could nudge peaks toward 15-16°C; conversely, thicker overcast favors 13°C. Recent developments include a shift from milder early-April conditions (13-15°C on April 1) to cooler northerly flows, aligning with seasonal norms of 14-16°C averages. New 12z GFS and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours may refine this spread before resolution based on official Paris observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,751結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETLatest Météo-France and ECMWF model ensembles project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 14-15°C, reflecting trader sentiment with 30% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 15°C amid genuine forecast uncertainty. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering Atlantic moisture plume cap daytime heating, while partial sun breaks could nudge peaks toward 15-16°C; conversely, thicker overcast favors 13°C. Recent developments include a shift from milder early-April conditions (13-15°C on April 1) to cooler northerly flows, aligning with seasonal norms of 14-16°C averages. New 12z GFS and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours may refine this spread before resolution based on official Paris observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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