Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
20°C or higher 25.4%
19°C 24%
18°C 18%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
24%
20°C or higher
25%
20°C or higher 25.4%
19°C 24%
18°C 18%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C or below
$509 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,098 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,165 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,855 交易量
1%
14°C
$1,549 交易量
2%
15°C
$464 交易量
5%
16°C
$715 交易量
8%
17°C
$421 交易量
17%
18°C
$500 交易量
18%
19°C
$390 交易量
24%
20°C or higher
$1,043 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
交易量
$9,709結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,709結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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