Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 25–29°C (~19–21% each) due to divergent model outputs amid ongoing convective activity in the Pearl River Delta. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27°C peak under thundershowers, aligning with recent Guangdong storms from April 3–6 that have capped daily highs at 23–28°C via persistent cloud cover and rainfall. International models vary slightly—Yr.no at 25°C with light rain, BBC at 28°C light cloud—highlighting sensitivity to afternoon cloud breaks, South China Sea moisture influx, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen. Daily CMA updates through April 6 will clarify trends as insolation potential rises post-Qingming holiday weather.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
25°C 20%
29°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
18%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
12%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
25°C 20%
29°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
21°C or below
$170 交易量
2%
22°C
$269 交易量
1%
23°C
$255 交易量
1%
24°C
$1 交易量
3%
25°C
$15 交易量
20%
26°C
$0 交易量
20%
27°C
$0 交易量
18%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$0 交易量
19%
30°C
$1 交易量
14%
31°C or higher
$10 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 25–29°C (~19–21% each) due to divergent model outputs amid ongoing convective activity in the Pearl River Delta. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27°C peak under thundershowers, aligning with recent Guangdong storms from April 3–6 that have capped daily highs at 23–28°C via persistent cloud cover and rainfall. International models vary slightly—Yr.no at 25°C with light rain, BBC at 28°C light cloud—highlighting sensitivity to afternoon cloud breaks, South China Sea moisture influx, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen. Daily CMA updates through April 6 will clarify trends as insolation potential rises post-Qingming holiday weather.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$721結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 25–29°C (~19–21% each) due to divergent model outputs amid ongoing convective activity in the Pearl River Delta. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27°C peak under thundershowers, aligning with recent Guangdong storms from April 3–6 that have capped daily highs at 23–28°C via persistent cloud cover and rainfall. International models vary slightly—Yr.no at 25°C with light rain, BBC at 28°C light cloud—highlighting sensitivity to afternoon cloud breaks, South China Sea moisture influx, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen. Daily CMA updates through April 6 will clarify trends as insolation potential rises post-Qingming holiday weather.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$721結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 25–29°C (~19–21% each) due to divergent model outputs amid ongoing convective activity in the Pearl River Delta. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27°C peak under thundershowers, aligning with recent Guangdong storms from April 3–6 that have capped daily highs at 23–28°C via persistent cloud cover and rainfall. International models vary slightly—Yr.no at 25°C with light rain, BBC at 28°C light cloud—highlighting sensitivity to afternoon cloud breaks, South China Sea moisture influx, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen. Daily CMA updates through April 6 will clarify trends as insolation potential rises post-Qingming holiday weather.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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