Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 32°C (38.5% implied probability) and 33°C (31.0%), with 34°C or higher at 23.5%, reflecting NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for 1–15 April 2026, which forecasts daily maximums of 33–35°C under emerging inter-monsoon conditions featuring light winds and afternoon thundery showers on most days. These showers often cap heating after morning sun, moderating urban heat island effects despite potential for 35°C+ peaks on clearer days, as seen in recent observations like 34.3°C at Pulau Ubin on April 4. Historical April averages hover near 32°C, but warmer baselines from late March add upside risk; key differentiators include morning cloud cover and shower timing, with NEA's twice-daily updates providing next catalysts before April 8 resolution via official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 8?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 8?
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
34°C or higher 22%
31°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C or higher
22%
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
34°C or higher 22%
31°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 32°C (38.5% implied probability) and 33°C (31.0%), with 34°C or higher at 23.5%, reflecting NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for 1–15 April 2026, which forecasts daily maximums of 33–35°C under emerging inter-monsoon conditions featuring light winds and afternoon thundery showers on most days. These showers often cap heating after morning sun, moderating urban heat island effects despite potential for 35°C+ peaks on clearer days, as seen in recent observations like 34.3°C at Pulau Ubin on April 4. Historical April averages hover near 32°C, but warmer baselines from late March add upside risk; key differentiators include morning cloud cover and shower timing, with NEA's twice-daily updates providing next catalysts before April 8 resolution via official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions