Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 15-17°C following weekend rains on April 4-5 that brought 5-20mm precipitation and daytime highs of 14-18°C, tempering early spring warmth but not derailing seasonal trends. This positions the 15°C or higher outcome at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance from clearing skies and southerly flows amid neutral ENSO conditions, with historical April 8 averages near 14°C but recent cherry blossom full bloom signaling progressive warming. Outcomes like 12-14°C at ~36% capture potential cloud cover variability, while lower bins trail due to scant cold air intrusion signals. Daily KMA updates through April 7 could refine ensemble model spreads ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 45%
13°C 31%
12°C 29%
11°C 28%
5°C or below
3%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
24%
11°C
28%
12°C
29%
13°C
31%
14°C
27%
15°C or higher
45%
15°C or higher 45%
13°C 31%
12°C 29%
11°C 28%
5°C or below
3%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
24%
11°C
28%
12°C
29%
13°C
31%
14°C
27%
15°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 15-17°C following weekend rains on April 4-5 that brought 5-20mm precipitation and daytime highs of 14-18°C, tempering early spring warmth but not derailing seasonal trends. This positions the 15°C or higher outcome at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance from clearing skies and southerly flows amid neutral ENSO conditions, with historical April 8 averages near 14°C but recent cherry blossom full bloom signaling progressive warming. Outcomes like 12-14°C at ~36% capture potential cloud cover variability, while lower bins trail due to scant cold air intrusion signals. Daily KMA updates through April 7 could refine ensemble model spreads ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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