Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (45.5% implied probability) as São Paulo's highest temperature today, April 3, closely followed by 30°C (29.5%), driven by the latest INMET weekly forecast and regional models projecting peaks of 28-30°C amid a lingering warm air mass over the Southeast ahead of an incoming cold front this weekend. Morning sunshine supports midday heating to near 29°C at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport—the market's resolution station—before afternoon clouds and potential moderate showers cap further intensification, per Climatempo and CGE-SP updates. This exceeds April climatological averages of ~26°C due to high-pressure influences and above-normal autumn warmth, though convective uncertainty keeps odds balanced; real-time hourly observations will clarify as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 3?
29°C 47%
30°C 31%
28°C 18%
31°C 8%
$26,404 交易量
$26,404 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
47%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 31%
28°C 18%
31°C 8%
$26,404 交易量
$26,404 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
47%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (45.5% implied probability) as São Paulo's highest temperature today, April 3, closely followed by 30°C (29.5%), driven by the latest INMET weekly forecast and regional models projecting peaks of 28-30°C amid a lingering warm air mass over the Southeast ahead of an incoming cold front this weekend. Morning sunshine supports midday heating to near 29°C at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport—the market's resolution station—before afternoon clouds and potential moderate showers cap further intensification, per Climatempo and CGE-SP updates. This exceeds April climatological averages of ~26°C due to high-pressure influences and above-normal autumn warmth, though convective uncertainty keeps odds balanced; real-time hourly observations will clarify as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions