Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F at 49.5% implied probability, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance issued early April 2, which projects a peak near 56°F under partly sunny skies after morning showers taper. This positioning stems from persistent marine stratus and low-level moisture from recent Pacific frontal passages, combined with light southerly winds capping warming potential despite a departing upper trough; model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus highs in the mid-50s. Recent rainy trends through late March and early April 1-2, with April 2 highs around 52°F, reinforce the cool bias, though partial afternoon clearing could nudge toward 58-59°F (24%). Monitor hourly KSEA observations for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度?
4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度?
56-57°F 50%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 13%
52-53°F 8%
$32,231 交易量
$32,231 交易量
45°F或以下
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
50%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
華氏64度或以上
<1%
56-57°F 50%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 13%
52-53°F 8%
$32,231 交易量
$32,231 交易量
45°F或以下
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
50%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
華氏64度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F at 49.5% implied probability, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance issued early April 2, which projects a peak near 56°F under partly sunny skies after morning showers taper. This positioning stems from persistent marine stratus and low-level moisture from recent Pacific frontal passages, combined with light southerly winds capping warming potential despite a departing upper trough; model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus highs in the mid-50s. Recent rainy trends through late March and early April 1-2, with April 2 highs around 52°F, reinforce the cool bias, though partial afternoon clearing could nudge toward 58-59°F (24%). Monitor hourly KSEA observations for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions