National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) indicate a high near 61°F on April 4 under partly sunny skies, aligning with trader consensus favoring 60-61°F at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 62-63°F (30%) and 58-59°F (25%). This positioning follows April 1's unusually cool 49°F maximum—8°F below normal amid cloudy, showery conditions—and reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a building upper-level ridge promoting solar heating and light southerly winds, tempered by persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps peaks. Uncertainty stems from timing of afternoon clearing and boundary-layer mixing, with new observational data and 12Z model updates expected to refine odds before resolution via official KSEA records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
60-61°F 37%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.3%
$17,236 交易量
$17,236 交易量
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 37%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.3%
$17,236 交易量
$17,236 交易量
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) indicate a high near 61°F on April 4 under partly sunny skies, aligning with trader consensus favoring 60-61°F at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 62-63°F (30%) and 58-59°F (25%). This positioning follows April 1's unusually cool 49°F maximum—8°F below normal amid cloudy, showery conditions—and reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a building upper-level ridge promoting solar heating and light southerly winds, tempered by persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps peaks. Uncertainty stems from timing of afternoon clearing and boundary-layer mixing, with new observational data and 12Z model updates expected to refine odds before resolution via official KSEA records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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