Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, fueling closely matched market-implied odds with 23°C leading at 25.5%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could limit peaks to 22°C, while intermittent sun breaks and southerly winds might push to 24°C—against a backdrop of early April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads highlight short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer dynamics; traders await refreshed model outputs every 6–12 hours from NOAA, ECMWF, and the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, with resolution tied to official station measurements like Xujiahui.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
23°C 26%
22°C 20%
24°C 15%
25°C 13%
最新
$16,610 交易量
最新
$16,610 交易量
2026-04-06
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
20%
23°C
26%
24°C
15%
25°C
13%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
8%
23°C 26%
22°C 20%
24°C 15%
25°C 13%
最新
$16,610 交易量
最新
$16,610 交易量
2026-04-06
17°C or below
$3,657 交易量
1%
18°C
$823 交易量
3%
19°C
$784 交易量
4%
20°C
$964 交易量
5%
21°C
$1,096 交易量
12%
22°C
$1,040 交易量
20%
23°C
$1,164 交易量
26%
24°C
$2,155 交易量
15%
25°C
$726 交易量
13%
26°C
$1,319 交易量
9%
27°C or higher
$2,931 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, fueling closely matched market-implied odds with 23°C leading at 25.5%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could limit peaks to 22°C, while intermittent sun breaks and southerly winds might push to 24°C—against a backdrop of early April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads highlight short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer dynamics; traders await refreshed model outputs every 6–12 hours from NOAA, ECMWF, and the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, with resolution tied to official station measurements like Xujiahui.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$16,610結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, fueling closely matched market-implied odds with 23°C leading at 25.5%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could limit peaks to 22°C, while intermittent sun breaks and southerly winds might push to 24°C—against a backdrop of early April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads highlight short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer dynamics; traders await refreshed model outputs every 6–12 hours from NOAA, ECMWF, and the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, with resolution tied to official station measurements like Xujiahui.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,610結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETLatest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, fueling closely matched market-implied odds with 23°C leading at 25.5%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could limit peaks to 22°C, while intermittent sun breaks and southerly winds might push to 24°C—against a backdrop of early April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C. Ensemble spreads highlight short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer dynamics; traders await refreshed model outputs every 6–12 hours from NOAA, ECMWF, and the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, with resolution tied to official station measurements like Xujiahui.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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