Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
16°C 25%
14°C 25%
20°C or higher 21%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
10°C or below
3%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
7%
14°C
25%
15°C
14%
16°C
25%
17°C
7%
18°C
7%
19°C
25%
20°C or higher
21%
16°C 25%
14°C 25%
20°C or higher 21%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
10°C or below
$112 交易量
3%
11°C
$0 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
7%
14°C
$8 交易量
25%
15°C
$0 交易量
14%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
7%
19°C
$33 交易量
25%
20°C or higher
$0 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$153結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$153結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions