Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
17°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
16%
14°C
29%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
13%
18°C
11%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
17°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C或以下
$338 交易量
1%
11°C
$921 交易量
1%
12°C
$290 交易量
7%
13°C
$210 交易量
16%
14°C
$159 交易量
29%
15°C
$146 交易量
15%
16°C
$115 交易量
16%
17°C
$95 交易量
13%
18°C
$135 交易量
11%
19°C
$94 交易量
3%
20°C or higher
$139 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,573結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,573結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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