Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
15°C 15%
12°C 13%
$20,581 交易量
$20,581 交易量
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
15°C 15%
12°C 13%
$20,581 交易量
$20,581 交易量
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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