Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 25%
22°C 23%
19°C 16%
20°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
10%
21°C 25%
22°C 23%
19°C 16%
20°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C or below
$613 交易量
<1%
15°C
$412 交易量
<1%
16°C
$291 交易量
1%
17°C
$284 交易量
3%
18°C
$588 交易量
5%
19°C
$438 交易量
16%
20°C
$595 交易量
15%
21°C
$637 交易量
25%
22°C
$1,238 交易量
23%
23°C
$593 交易量
14%
24°C or higher
$528 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$6,200結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,200結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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