Latest Roshydromet guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drives trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6 (28.5% implied probability), as northerly winds usher cooler continental air under overcast skies, tempering diurnal heating after early April's warm anomaly with highs near 16-17°C through April 4. This shift aligns with seasonal climatology, where early-month averages hover around 6-10°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects model spreads: 8-9°C (combined ~36%) viable if winds weaken slightly; 10°C+ (11-15% total) needs delayed cooling or southerly advection; sub-6°C (17%) demands intensified cold surge; extremes below 5°C or above 15°C (<5%) face barriers from current synoptic patterns. Daily model updates will refine probabilities before Roshydromet station observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
7°C 29%
8°C 18%
9°C 18%
6°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
5°C or below
4%
6°C
15%
7°C
29%
8°C
18%
9°C
18%
10°C
12%
11°C
5%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 29%
8°C 18%
9°C 18%
6°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
5°C or below
$622 交易量
4%
6°C
$321 交易量
15%
7°C
$317 交易量
29%
8°C
$408 交易量
18%
9°C
$490 交易量
18%
10°C
$448 交易量
12%
11°C
$277 交易量
5%
12°C
$1,139 交易量
3%
13°C
$1,398 交易量
1%
14°C
$1,531 交易量
1%
15°C or higher
$800 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Roshydromet guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drives trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6 (28.5% implied probability), as northerly winds usher cooler continental air under overcast skies, tempering diurnal heating after early April's warm anomaly with highs near 16-17°C through April 4. This shift aligns with seasonal climatology, where early-month averages hover around 6-10°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects model spreads: 8-9°C (combined ~36%) viable if winds weaken slightly; 10°C+ (11-15% total) needs delayed cooling or southerly advection; sub-6°C (17%) demands intensified cold surge; extremes below 5°C or above 15°C (<5%) face barriers from current synoptic patterns. Daily model updates will refine probabilities before Roshydromet station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
交易量
$7,751結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Roshydromet guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drives trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6 (28.5% implied probability), as northerly winds usher cooler continental air under overcast skies, tempering diurnal heating after early April's warm anomaly with highs near 16-17°C through April 4. This shift aligns with seasonal climatology, where early-month averages hover around 6-10°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects model spreads: 8-9°C (combined ~36%) viable if winds weaken slightly; 10°C+ (11-15% total) needs delayed cooling or southerly advection; sub-6°C (17%) demands intensified cold surge; extremes below 5°C or above 15°C (<5%) face barriers from current synoptic patterns. Daily model updates will refine probabilities before Roshydromet station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,751結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Roshydromet guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drives trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6 (28.5% implied probability), as northerly winds usher cooler continental air under overcast skies, tempering diurnal heating after early April's warm anomaly with highs near 16-17°C through April 4. This shift aligns with seasonal climatology, where early-month averages hover around 6-10°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects model spreads: 8-9°C (combined ~36%) viable if winds weaken slightly; 10°C+ (11-15% total) needs delayed cooling or southerly advection; sub-6°C (17%) demands intensified cold surge; extremes below 5°C or above 15°C (<5%) face barriers from current synoptic patterns. Daily model updates will refine probabilities before Roshydromet station observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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