Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (39.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) for London's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the Met Office's early April 3 update forecasting a daytime max of 16°C under sunny intervals after morning patchy drizzle, with cloud breaks allowing potential insolation midday around 3pm. Differentiating factors include the extent of low cloud persistence—favoring 15°C if breezy south-westerlies (up to 19 mph) and 75-85% humidity cap warming—versus fuller clearing for 16°C amid urban heat island effects. BBC aligns at 16°C high with moderate breeze, while lingering low pressure from Easter weekend adds uncertainty; 17°C+ (20%) hinges on unexpected prolonged sunshine. Watch hourly forecast revisions and observational data today from official stations like Heathrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 4?
Highest temperature in London on April 4?
15°C 42%
16°C 37%
17°C or higher 19%
14°C 8%
$46,693 交易量
$46,693 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
42%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
19%
15°C 42%
16°C 37%
17°C or higher 19%
14°C 8%
$46,693 交易量
$46,693 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
42%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (39.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) for London's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the Met Office's early April 3 update forecasting a daytime max of 16°C under sunny intervals after morning patchy drizzle, with cloud breaks allowing potential insolation midday around 3pm. Differentiating factors include the extent of low cloud persistence—favoring 15°C if breezy south-westerlies (up to 19 mph) and 75-85% humidity cap warming—versus fuller clearing for 16°C amid urban heat island effects. BBC aligns at 16°C high with moderate breeze, while lingering low pressure from Easter weekend adds uncertainty; 17°C+ (20%) hinges on unexpected prolonged sunshine. Watch hourly forecast revisions and observational data today from official stations like Heathrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions