Met Office's latest forecast, updated late April 2, projects a sunny, dry Easter Monday in London with a maximum temperature of 15°C and minimal rain risk under light winds, anchoring trader sentiment to closely matched implied probabilities for 14°C (29%), 15°C (24%), and 16°C (18%). This reflects post-Storm Dave clearing, as the weekend's low-pressure system from the Atlantic brings blustery rain Saturday into Sunday but yields to brighter conditions by April 6, boosting insolation potential. Differentiating factors include residual cloud persistence, which could cap highs at 13-14°C per cooler ensemble model runs, versus full sunshine enabling 16°C amid a mild air mass above seasonal norms of around 13°C. Daily updates from the Met Office through April 5 will clarify model consensus on boundary layer stability and solar heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月6日倫敦的最高溫度?
4月6日倫敦的最高溫度?
14°C 29%
15°C 23%
13°C 19%
16°C 18%
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
29%
15°C
23%
16°C
18%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C或以上
2%
14°C 29%
15°C 23%
13°C 19%
16°C 18%
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
29%
15°C
23%
16°C
18%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office's latest forecast, updated late April 2, projects a sunny, dry Easter Monday in London with a maximum temperature of 15°C and minimal rain risk under light winds, anchoring trader sentiment to closely matched implied probabilities for 14°C (29%), 15°C (24%), and 16°C (18%). This reflects post-Storm Dave clearing, as the weekend's low-pressure system from the Atlantic brings blustery rain Saturday into Sunday but yields to brighter conditions by April 6, boosting insolation potential. Differentiating factors include residual cloud persistence, which could cap highs at 13-14°C per cooler ensemble model runs, versus full sunshine enabling 16°C amid a mild air mass above seasonal norms of around 13°C. Daily updates from the Met Office through April 5 will clarify model consensus on boundary layer stability and solar heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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