Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 28%
7°C 23%
5°C 19%
4°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
7%
4°C
10%
5°C
19%
6°C
28%
7°C
23%
8°C
10%
9°C
6%
10°C or higher
5%
6°C 28%
7°C 23%
5°C 19%
4°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
0°C or below
$903 交易量
<1%
1°C
$442 交易量
1%
2°C
$336 交易量
3%
3°C
$293 交易量
7%
4°C
$498 交易量
10%
5°C
$288 交易量
19%
6°C
$466 交易量
28%
7°C
$417 交易量
23%
8°C
$373 交易量
10%
9°C
$410 交易量
6%
10°C or higher
$1,160 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,587結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,587結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETEnvironment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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