Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
86-87°F 40%
84-85°F 21%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 8%
$22,753 交易量
$22,753 交易量
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 40%
84-85°F 21%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 8%
$22,753 交易量
$22,753 交易量
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions