National Weather Service guidance shows Austin's high temperature on April 5 clustering around 67°F following a Pacific cold front sweeping through Central Texas over the weekend, ending a run of 80s-to-90s highs earlier in the week after record-warm March conditions. Trader consensus, with 70-71°F at 25% implied probability edging 66-67°F at 24%, captures GFS and ECMWF ensemble spread driven by front timing uncertainties—if arrival delays into Sunday afternoon, enhanced diurnal heating under partial clearing skies could push toward low 70s, while persistent low clouds or showers post-frontal would suppress peaks to mid-60s. New 12z model runs expected today will clarify upper-air patterns and boundary layer mixing; historical April averages near 77°F provide climatological context but yield to current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 24%
68-69°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
$11,676 交易量
$11,676 交易量
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
12%
74°F or higher
6%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 24%
68-69°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
$11,676 交易量
$11,676 交易量
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
12%
74°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance shows Austin's high temperature on April 5 clustering around 67°F following a Pacific cold front sweeping through Central Texas over the weekend, ending a run of 80s-to-90s highs earlier in the week after record-warm March conditions. Trader consensus, with 70-71°F at 25% implied probability edging 66-67°F at 24%, captures GFS and ECMWF ensemble spread driven by front timing uncertainties—if arrival delays into Sunday afternoon, enhanced diurnal heating under partial clearing skies could push toward low 70s, while persistent low clouds or showers post-frontal would suppress peaks to mid-60s. New 12z model runs expected today will clarify upper-air patterns and boundary layer mixing; historical April averages near 77°F provide climatological context but yield to current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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