Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 56°F or higher, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting highs of 66-72°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth. This follows March 2026's record-contending heat—potentially Denver's 15th-warmest April equivalent—and continued sunny, dry conditions with light winds, aligning with climatological norms of around 60°F but skewed warmer by high-pressure dominance. Lower bins reflect minor model spread and inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, with daily NOAA model updates and NWS advisories through April 7 potentially refining odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
56°F or higher 88%
54-55°F 13.0%
46-47°F 7.1%
52-53°F 7.1%
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
6%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
8%
56°F or higher
88%
56°F or higher 88%
54-55°F 13.0%
46-47°F 7.1%
52-53°F 7.1%
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
6%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
8%
56°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 56°F or higher, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting highs of 66-72°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth. This follows March 2026's record-contending heat—potentially Denver's 15th-warmest April equivalent—and continued sunny, dry conditions with light winds, aligning with climatological norms of around 60°F but skewed warmer by high-pressure dominance. Lower bins reflect minor model spread and inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, with daily NOAA model updates and NWS advisories through April 7 potentially refining odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions