National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF project Denver's April 5 high temperature clustering in the mid-60s Fahrenheit, with trader-implied odds tightly split between 64-65°F (26%) and 66-67°F (26%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under a transitional upper-level pattern. Following March 2026's record warmth—the hottest on record—a weak trough has introduced cooler air and scattered showers early this week, tempering highs to the 50s, but a rebuilding ridge aloft promises above-normal temperatures near the 1991-2020 April 5 average of 60°F. Key differentiators include timing of shortwave disturbances affecting cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave 2-3°F off clearer-sky scenarios pushing toward 68-69°F. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected today may refine this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 23%
62-63°F 12%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 23%
62-63°F 12%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF project Denver's April 5 high temperature clustering in the mid-60s Fahrenheit, with trader-implied odds tightly split between 64-65°F (26%) and 66-67°F (26%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under a transitional upper-level pattern. Following March 2026's record warmth—the hottest on record—a weak trough has introduced cooler air and scattered showers early this week, tempering highs to the 50s, but a rebuilding ridge aloft promises above-normal temperatures near the 1991-2020 April 5 average of 60°F. Key differentiators include timing of shortwave disturbances affecting cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave 2-3°F off clearer-sky scenarios pushing toward 68-69°F. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected today may refine this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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