Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (33.5%) and 54-55°F (33.0%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid a post-heat-wave pattern shift. After March 2026's record warmth—averaging 51.6°F versus a normal 41.5°F—a cooler upper-air mass and gusty winds (30-40 mph under Red Flag Warning for fire risk) are suppressing daytime heating below the April 3 normal of 60°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and wind mixing efficiency, with peak temps likely 2-4 PM MDT; intraday NWS updates and DIA observations could tip the balance as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
52-53°F 35%
54-55°F 33%
50-51°F 16%
56-57°F 6%
$37,007 交易量
$37,007 交易量
49°F or below
3%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 35%
54-55°F 33%
50-51°F 16%
56-57°F 6%
$37,007 交易量
$37,007 交易量
49°F or below
3%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (33.5%) and 54-55°F (33.0%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid a post-heat-wave pattern shift. After March 2026's record warmth—averaging 51.6°F versus a normal 41.5°F—a cooler upper-air mass and gusty winds (30-40 mph under Red Flag Warning for fire risk) are suppressing daytime heating below the April 3 normal of 60°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and wind mixing efficiency, with peak temps likely 2-4 PM MDT; intraday NWS updates and DIA observations could tip the balance as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions