Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 23-24°C amid divergent guidance on cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show early April highs averaging 20-22°C, boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity, but a potential weak front could introduce mid-level clouds, capping peaks at 23°C in cooler runs while clearer skies allow 24°C in warmer ones. Diurnal heating peaks midday, with resolution based on Xujiahui Observatory data; new model outputs expected April 4 may sharpen probabilities as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
22°C 16%
25°C 13%
最新
$12,659 交易量
最新
$12,659 交易量
2026-04-05
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
16%
23°C
26%
24°C
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
22°C 16%
25°C 13%
最新
$12,659 交易量
最新
$12,659 交易量
2026-04-05
18°C or below
$1,805 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,081 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,019 交易量
3%
21°C
$789 交易量
10%
22°C
$934 交易量
16%
23°C
$1,280 交易量
26%
24°C
$1,261 交易量
23%
25°C
$842 交易量
13%
26°C
$1,200 交易量
9%
27°C
$1,113 交易量
4%
28°C or higher
$1,349 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 23-24°C amid divergent guidance on cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show early April highs averaging 20-22°C, boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity, but a potential weak front could introduce mid-level clouds, capping peaks at 23°C in cooler runs while clearer skies allow 24°C in warmer ones. Diurnal heating peaks midday, with resolution based on Xujiahui Observatory data; new model outputs expected April 4 may sharpen probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$12,659結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 23-24°C amid divergent guidance on cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show early April highs averaging 20-22°C, boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity, but a potential weak front could introduce mid-level clouds, capping peaks at 23°C in cooler runs while clearer skies allow 24°C in warmer ones. Diurnal heating peaks midday, with resolution based on Xujiahui Observatory data; new model outputs expected April 4 may sharpen probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,659結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 23-24°C amid divergent guidance on cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show early April highs averaging 20-22°C, boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity, but a potential weak front could introduce mid-level clouds, capping peaks at 23°C in cooler runs while clearer skies allow 24°C in warmer ones. Diurnal heating peaks midday, with resolution based on Xujiahui Observatory data; new model outputs expected April 4 may sharpen probabilities as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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