The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on April 8 between 19–25°C amid lingering effects from two recent weather fronts delivering cloudy skies and isolated showers across northern Taiwan, as reported in updates over the past 48 hours. Trader sentiment, however, clusters implied probabilities at 29% each for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C—slightly above the April monthly mean max of 26.4°C—driven by ensemble model discrepancies showing potential post-frontal clearing and stronger southerly flow boosting insolation. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus rapid instability resolution; fuller sunshine could push toward 29°C, while prolonged moisture caps at 25°C or below. New CWA guidance expected daily will refine these uncertainties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月8日臺北氣溫最高?
4月8日臺北氣溫最高?
28°C 39%
27°C 29%
29°C 28%
23°C 26%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
29%
28°C
39%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C或更高
26%
28°C 39%
27°C 29%
29°C 28%
23°C 26%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
29%
28°C
39%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C或更高
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on April 8 between 19–25°C amid lingering effects from two recent weather fronts delivering cloudy skies and isolated showers across northern Taiwan, as reported in updates over the past 48 hours. Trader sentiment, however, clusters implied probabilities at 29% each for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C—slightly above the April monthly mean max of 26.4°C—driven by ensemble model discrepancies showing potential post-frontal clearing and stronger southerly flow boosting insolation. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus rapid instability resolution; fuller sunshine could push toward 29°C, while prolonged moisture caps at 25°C or below. New CWA guidance expected daily will refine these uncertainties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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