Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?
22°C or higher 81%
21°C 8%
19°C 2%
17°C 1%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
15%
20°C
17%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
69%
22°C or higher 81%
21°C 8%
19°C 2%
17°C 1%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
12°C or below
$188 交易量
1%
13°C
$165 交易量
1%
14°C
$141 交易量
1%
15°C
$250 交易量
1%
16°C
$250 交易量
1%
17°C
$3 交易量
8%
18°C
$3 交易量
8%
19°C
$8 交易量
15%
20°C
$3 交易量
17%
21°C
$3 交易量
15%
22°C or higher
$142 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$1,159結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,159結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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