Latest National Weather Service climatological data for Chicago shows April 8 normals at 56°F highs, aligning with the 83% market-implied probability for 50°F or higher as GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a 42-55°F spread, favoring low-to-mid 50s under potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours reflect this consensus amid a spring transition from cooler early April patterns, with no entrenched cold fronts or Arctic air masses projected. Trader sentiment clusters secondary odds around 36-47°F bins due to ensemble variability from troughing risks. Daily forecast updates from NOAA models and NWS Chicago discussions through April 6-7 will refine intensification potential and steering influences ahead of resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
50°F or higher 90%
36-37°F 6.1%
40-41°F 3.7%
46-47°F 3.7%
31°F or below
3%
32-33°F
3%
34-35°F
3%
36-37°F
6%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
3%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
1%
50°F or higher
90%
50°F or higher 90%
36-37°F 6.1%
40-41°F 3.7%
46-47°F 3.7%
31°F or below
3%
32-33°F
3%
34-35°F
3%
36-37°F
6%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
3%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
1%
50°F or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service climatological data for Chicago shows April 8 normals at 56°F highs, aligning with the 83% market-implied probability for 50°F or higher as GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a 42-55°F spread, favoring low-to-mid 50s under potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours reflect this consensus amid a spring transition from cooler early April patterns, with no entrenched cold fronts or Arctic air masses projected. Trader sentiment clusters secondary odds around 36-47°F bins due to ensemble variability from troughing risks. Daily forecast updates from NOAA models and NWS Chicago discussions through April 6-7 will refine intensification potential and steering influences ahead of resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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