Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside IMGW guidance, project maximum temperatures near Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 6 clustering at 12-13°C, fueling trader sentiment with 12°C leading at 31% implied probability and 11°C at 21%, consistent with early April historical averages of 11-12°C. Current chilly conditions—highs of 6-9°C over the April 3-4 weekend amid recent showers—signal a warming trend from building high pressure, but high uncertainty persists due to model spreads of ±2°C, variable cloud cover, and potential cool fronts capping peaks below 12°C or allowing brief surges to 14°C via stronger insolation. Key variables include warm air advection strength, boundary layer mixing, and precipitation clearance; monitor 12Z model runs and April 5 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 6?
12°C 31%
11°C 21%
10°C 17.8%
13°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
21%
12°C
31%
13°C
15%
14°C
12%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
4%
12°C 31%
11°C 21%
10°C 17.8%
13°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
7°C or below
$283 交易量
<1%
8°C
$932 交易量
1%
9°C
$251 交易量
7%
10°C
$224 交易量
11%
11°C
$133 交易量
21%
12°C
$290 交易量
31%
13°C
$186 交易量
15%
14°C
$237 交易量
12%
15°C
$166 交易量
6%
16°C
$177 交易量
6%
17°C or higher
$329 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside IMGW guidance, project maximum temperatures near Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 6 clustering at 12-13°C, fueling trader sentiment with 12°C leading at 31% implied probability and 11°C at 21%, consistent with early April historical averages of 11-12°C. Current chilly conditions—highs of 6-9°C over the April 3-4 weekend amid recent showers—signal a warming trend from building high pressure, but high uncertainty persists due to model spreads of ±2°C, variable cloud cover, and potential cool fronts capping peaks below 12°C or allowing brief surges to 14°C via stronger insolation. Key variables include warm air advection strength, boundary layer mixing, and precipitation clearance; monitor 12Z model runs and April 5 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$3,208結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside IMGW guidance, project maximum temperatures near Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 6 clustering at 12-13°C, fueling trader sentiment with 12°C leading at 31% implied probability and 11°C at 21%, consistent with early April historical averages of 11-12°C. Current chilly conditions—highs of 6-9°C over the April 3-4 weekend amid recent showers—signal a warming trend from building high pressure, but high uncertainty persists due to model spreads of ±2°C, variable cloud cover, and potential cool fronts capping peaks below 12°C or allowing brief surges to 14°C via stronger insolation. Key variables include warm air advection strength, boundary layer mixing, and precipitation clearance; monitor 12Z model runs and April 5 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,208結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside IMGW guidance, project maximum temperatures near Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 6 clustering at 12-13°C, fueling trader sentiment with 12°C leading at 31% implied probability and 11°C at 21%, consistent with early April historical averages of 11-12°C. Current chilly conditions—highs of 6-9°C over the April 3-4 weekend amid recent showers—signal a warming trend from building high pressure, but high uncertainty persists due to model spreads of ±2°C, variable cloud cover, and potential cool fronts capping peaks below 12°C or allowing brief surges to 14°C via stronger insolation. Key variables include warm air advection strength, boundary layer mixing, and precipitation clearance; monitor 12Z model runs and April 5 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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