Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 19-21°C, capturing the closely matched market-implied odds where 21°C leads at 23% amid genuine short-term uncertainty. This positioning stems from a sharp warmup over the past 48 hours, transitioning from early-week frosts and highs of 8-13°C under cold northerly flow to milder conditions driven by an upper-level ridge advecting Atlantic air, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in cloud cover—favoring peak insolation for 21°C versus scattered clouds capping at 19°C—and variations in southerly wind speeds influencing boundary layer mixing. Fresh 00Z model runs and IMGW updates through April 4 will refine probabilities before official Warsaw Chopin Airport observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 5?
21°C 23%
20°C 21%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
23%
22°C or higher
14%
21°C 23%
20°C 21%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
12°C or below
$663 交易量
<1%
13°C
$961 交易量
<1%
14°C
$528 交易量
3%
15°C
$469 交易量
2%
16°C
$284 交易量
4%
17°C
$271 交易量
5%
18°C
$504 交易量
16%
19°C
$456 交易量
21%
20°C
$392 交易量
21%
21°C
$535 交易量
23%
22°C or higher
$520 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 19-21°C, capturing the closely matched market-implied odds where 21°C leads at 23% amid genuine short-term uncertainty. This positioning stems from a sharp warmup over the past 48 hours, transitioning from early-week frosts and highs of 8-13°C under cold northerly flow to milder conditions driven by an upper-level ridge advecting Atlantic air, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in cloud cover—favoring peak insolation for 21°C versus scattered clouds capping at 19°C—and variations in southerly wind speeds influencing boundary layer mixing. Fresh 00Z model runs and IMGW updates through April 4 will refine probabilities before official Warsaw Chopin Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$5,583結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 19-21°C, capturing the closely matched market-implied odds where 21°C leads at 23% amid genuine short-term uncertainty. This positioning stems from a sharp warmup over the past 48 hours, transitioning from early-week frosts and highs of 8-13°C under cold northerly flow to milder conditions driven by an upper-level ridge advecting Atlantic air, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in cloud cover—favoring peak insolation for 21°C versus scattered clouds capping at 19°C—and variations in southerly wind speeds influencing boundary layer mixing. Fresh 00Z model runs and IMGW updates through April 4 will refine probabilities before official Warsaw Chopin Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,583結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 19-21°C, capturing the closely matched market-implied odds where 21°C leads at 23% amid genuine short-term uncertainty. This positioning stems from a sharp warmup over the past 48 hours, transitioning from early-week frosts and highs of 8-13°C under cold northerly flow to milder conditions driven by an upper-level ridge advecting Atlantic air, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in cloud cover—favoring peak insolation for 21°C versus scattered clouds capping at 19°C—and variations in southerly wind speeds influencing boundary layer mixing. Fresh 00Z model runs and IMGW updates through April 4 will refine probabilities before official Warsaw Chopin Airport observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions