Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, with 24°C at 31.5% and 23°C at 30.5% capturing ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks between 22–25°C. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates note mild spring conditions with lingering moisture from early April showers suppressing highs below the 25°C monthly average, influenced by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that amplifies diurnal cooling. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island amplification; light northerly winds could tip toward 24°C if convection clears early. Watch SMN briefings and refreshed models by April 5 for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
24°C 36%
23°C 31%
22°C 19%
25°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
19%
23°C
31%
24°C
36%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
23°C 31%
22°C 19%
25°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
$363 交易量
2%
20°C
$199 交易量
5%
21°C
$181 交易量
8%
22°C
$204 交易量
19%
23°C
$325 交易量
31%
24°C
$222 交易量
36%
25°C
$643 交易量
15%
26°C
$624 交易量
8%
27°C
$193 交易量
4%
28°C
$432 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$527 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, with 24°C at 31.5% and 23°C at 30.5% capturing ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks between 22–25°C. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates note mild spring conditions with lingering moisture from early April showers suppressing highs below the 25°C monthly average, influenced by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that amplifies diurnal cooling. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island amplification; light northerly winds could tip toward 24°C if convection clears early. Watch SMN briefings and refreshed models by April 5 for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
交易量
$3,914結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, with 24°C at 31.5% and 23°C at 30.5% capturing ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks between 22–25°C. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates note mild spring conditions with lingering moisture from early April showers suppressing highs below the 25°C monthly average, influenced by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that amplifies diurnal cooling. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island amplification; light northerly winds could tip toward 24°C if convection clears early. Watch SMN briefings and refreshed models by April 5 for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,914結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, with 24°C at 31.5% and 23°C at 30.5% capturing ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks between 22–25°C. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates note mild spring conditions with lingering moisture from early April showers suppressing highs below the 25°C monthly average, influenced by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that amplifies diurnal cooling. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island amplification; light northerly winds could tip toward 24°C if convection clears early. Watch SMN briefings and refreshed models by April 5 for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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