Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for a 26°C high in Mexico City today, closely trailed by 27°C at 37.5%, reflecting the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and Protección Civil projecting daytime maxima of 25-28°C. The city's high elevation of 2,240 meters naturally tempers temperatures during April's dry season, where historical averages hover around 25°C, but the arrival of Frente Frío No. 43 over the past 24 hours has introduced northerly winds, cloud cover, and isolated showers, capping peak heating after overnight lows of 10-12°C. Morning observations show partial clearing with temps rising to the mid-teens, though afternoon precipitation risks could limit the high to 26°C; real-time SMN station data, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, will refine probabilities as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
26°C 38%
27°C 37%
25°C 14%
28°C 11.4%
$19,220 交易量
$19,220 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
46%
27°C
37%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 37%
25°C 14%
28°C 11.4%
$19,220 交易量
$19,220 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
46%
27°C
37%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for a 26°C high in Mexico City today, closely trailed by 27°C at 37.5%, reflecting the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and Protección Civil projecting daytime maxima of 25-28°C. The city's high elevation of 2,240 meters naturally tempers temperatures during April's dry season, where historical averages hover around 25°C, but the arrival of Frente Frío No. 43 over the past 24 hours has introduced northerly winds, cloud cover, and isolated showers, capping peak heating after overnight lows of 10-12°C. Morning observations show partial clearing with temps rising to the mid-teens, though afternoon precipitation risks could limit the high to 26°C; real-time SMN station data, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, will refine probabilities as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions