Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a Mexico City high of 26–27°C on April 4, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts indicating maxima of 26–28°C amid an ongoing onda de calor from anticyclonic circulation over the Gulf of Mexico and a retreating cold front. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April average high of 26°C is moderated by high-altitude cooling, but urban heat island effects and clear skies could push toward 27°C, while partial cloud cover or northerly winds—evident in recent bruma reports—favor 26°C. Ensemble models like GFS show a 1–2°C spread; watch SMN's midday update for refined guidance before resolution based on official Benito Juárez airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
26°C 39%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
18%
26°C
39%
27°C
35%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 39%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
21°C or below
$320 交易量
1%
22°C
$119 交易量
2%
23°C
$130 交易量
4%
24°C
$541 交易量
7%
25°C
$142 交易量
18%
26°C
$192 交易量
39%
27°C
$98 交易量
35%
28°C
$132 交易量
9%
29°C
$244 交易量
4%
30°C
$168 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$583 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a Mexico City high of 26–27°C on April 4, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts indicating maxima of 26–28°C amid an ongoing onda de calor from anticyclonic circulation over the Gulf of Mexico and a retreating cold front. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April average high of 26°C is moderated by high-altitude cooling, but urban heat island effects and clear skies could push toward 27°C, while partial cloud cover or northerly winds—evident in recent bruma reports—favor 26°C. Ensemble models like GFS show a 1–2°C spread; watch SMN's midday update for refined guidance before resolution based on official Benito Juárez airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,579結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a Mexico City high of 26–27°C on April 4, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts indicating maxima of 26–28°C amid an ongoing onda de calor from anticyclonic circulation over the Gulf of Mexico and a retreating cold front. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April average high of 26°C is moderated by high-altitude cooling, but urban heat island effects and clear skies could push toward 27°C, while partial cloud cover or northerly winds—evident in recent bruma reports—favor 26°C. Ensemble models like GFS show a 1–2°C spread; watch SMN's midday update for refined guidance before resolution based on official Benito Juárez airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,579結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a Mexico City high of 26–27°C on April 4, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts indicating maxima of 26–28°C amid an ongoing onda de calor from anticyclonic circulation over the Gulf of Mexico and a retreating cold front. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April average high of 26°C is moderated by high-altitude cooling, but urban heat island effects and clear skies could push toward 27°C, while partial cloud cover or northerly winds—evident in recent bruma reports—favor 26°C. Ensemble models like GFS show a 1–2°C spread; watch SMN's midday update for refined guidance before resolution based on official Benito Juárez airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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