Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 22–24°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5 at Benito Juárez International Airport, reflecting the lingering impact of Frente Frío 43, which arrived over the past 48 hours with cooler polar air masses, cloudiness, and scattered showers across central Mexico. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models indicate highs capped 2–4°C below the April climatological average of 26°C due to increased cloud cover and northerly winds, with a tight 2–3°C spread differentiating outcomes—more persistent clouds favor 22°C, partial clearing boosts 24°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected overnight could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
23°C 32%
22°C 23%
24°C 23%
26°C 11%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
23%
23°C
32%
24°C
23%
25°C
8%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 32%
22°C 23%
24°C 23%
26°C 11%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
23%
23°C
32%
24°C
23%
25°C
8%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 22–24°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5 at Benito Juárez International Airport, reflecting the lingering impact of Frente Frío 43, which arrived over the past 48 hours with cooler polar air masses, cloudiness, and scattered showers across central Mexico. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models indicate highs capped 2–4°C below the April climatological average of 26°C due to increased cloud cover and northerly winds, with a tight 2–3°C spread differentiating outcomes—more persistent clouds favor 22°C, partial clearing boosts 24°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected overnight could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions