National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport indicate a daytime high near 81°F on April 4 amid mostly cloudy skies, south winds around 10 mph, and a 30% chance of scattered showers, positioning the 80-81°F outcome as trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects convergence in GFS and ECMWF model runs showing persistent low-level moisture and light precipitation capping temperatures just above the early April climatological average of 78°F. Recent observations at Hobby logged highs near 84°F on April 2 under clearer conditions, but yesterday's shift to overcast skies and spotty showers has trimmed expectations. Traders eye morning NWS updates and hourly observations for final resolution, with cloud cover variability potentially swinging outcomes 2-3°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 3.1%
$13,200 交易量
$13,200 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 3.1%
$13,200 交易量
$13,200 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport indicate a daytime high near 81°F on April 4 amid mostly cloudy skies, south winds around 10 mph, and a 30% chance of scattered showers, positioning the 80-81°F outcome as trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects convergence in GFS and ECMWF model runs showing persistent low-level moisture and light precipitation capping temperatures just above the early April climatological average of 78°F. Recent observations at Hobby logged highs near 84°F on April 2 under clearer conditions, but yesterday's shift to overcast skies and spotty showers has trimmed expectations. Traders eye morning NWS updates and hourly observations for final resolution, with cloud cover variability potentially swinging outcomes 2-3°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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