Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (41.5%) and 23°C (34.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging around 23-24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly winds. This tight race stems from short-range uncertainty in sea breeze development and haze levels, which could cap peaks by enhancing coastal cooling or allow fuller solar insolation for slight warming; Israel Meteorological Service guidance notes a slight temperature rise from today's cooler highs near 18-23°C across models. Historical early April averages hover at 22.8°C, with resolution hinging on official NOAA observations—watch overnight 00Z model updates for potential shifts before tomorrow's midday peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
24°C 43%
23°C 33%
22°C 13%
25°C 9.4%
$11,585 交易量
$11,585 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
33%
24°C
43%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 43%
23°C 33%
22°C 13%
25°C 9.4%
$11,585 交易量
$11,585 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
33%
24°C
43%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (41.5%) and 23°C (34.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging around 23-24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly winds. This tight race stems from short-range uncertainty in sea breeze development and haze levels, which could cap peaks by enhancing coastal cooling or allow fuller solar insolation for slight warming; Israel Meteorological Service guidance notes a slight temperature rise from today's cooler highs near 18-23°C across models. Historical early April averages hover at 22.8°C, with resolution hinging on official NOAA observations—watch overnight 00Z model updates for potential shifts before tomorrow's midday peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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