Trader consensus on a 23°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, at 97.5% market-implied probability, stems from the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of partly cloudy to hazy skies and a temperature drop from yesterday's 25°C peak, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering around 23°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official measurement station. Overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds have moderated early heating, with limited solar insolation expected under mid-level haze. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation to push 24°C+, or persistent marine layer onshore flow capping below 23°C; hourly IMS observations will refine this through resolution later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 98.4%
24°C 1.7%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$51,963 交易量
$51,963 交易量
2026-04-03
22°C
<1%
23°C
98%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
23°C 98.4%
24°C 1.7%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$51,963 交易量
$51,963 交易量
2026-04-03
22°C
$5,728 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,908 交易量
98%
24°C
$5,393 交易量
2%
25°C or higher
$5,129 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 23°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, at 97.5% market-implied probability, stems from the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of partly cloudy to hazy skies and a temperature drop from yesterday's 25°C peak, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering around 23°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official measurement station. Overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds have moderated early heating, with limited solar insolation expected under mid-level haze. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation to push 24°C+, or persistent marine layer onshore flow capping below 23°C; hourly IMS observations will refine this through resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$51,963結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 23°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, at 97.5% market-implied probability, stems from the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of partly cloudy to hazy skies and a temperature drop from yesterday's 25°C peak, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering around 23°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official measurement station. Overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds have moderated early heating, with limited solar insolation expected under mid-level haze. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation to push 24°C+, or persistent marine layer onshore flow capping below 23°C; hourly IMS observations will refine this through resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,963結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 23°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, at 97.5% market-implied probability, stems from the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of partly cloudy to hazy skies and a temperature drop from yesterday's 25°C peak, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering around 23°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official measurement station. Overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds have moderated early heating, with limited solar insolation expected under mid-level haze. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation to push 24°C+, or persistent marine layer onshore flow capping below 23°C; hourly IMS observations will refine this through resolution later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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