Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 28%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
19°C 10.8%
$21,688 交易量
$21,688 交易量
2026-04-04
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C
10%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
19°C 10.8%
$21,688 交易量
$21,688 交易量
2026-04-04
17°C or below
$1,669 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,165 交易量
3%
19°C
$1,507 交易量
11%
20°C
$1,412 交易量
23%
21°C
$1,552 交易量
28%
22°C
$1,435 交易量
19%
23°C
$1,334 交易量
10%
24°C
$2,065 交易量
3%
25°C
$1,745 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,171 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,643 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$21,688結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,688結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETEnsemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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