Latest short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, show a consensus maximum temperature near 20°C for Buenos Aires on April 5 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driving the tight clustering of trader odds at 78% combined for 19–21°C outcomes. This reflects an incoming cool front with southerly winds and decreasing clouds after warmer conditions earlier in the week (near 27°C on April 2), typical of autumn cooling in the humid subtropical climate. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on cloud cover persistence and sea breeze strength, which could nudge peaks 1–2°C higher or lower; historical April variability supports this uncertainty. Watch for daily 00Z/12Z model updates resolving discrepancies before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
4月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
19°C 32%
21°C 29%
20°C 22%
22°C 13%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C或更高
3%
19°C 32%
21°C 29%
20°C 22%
22°C 13%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, show a consensus maximum temperature near 20°C for Buenos Aires on April 5 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driving the tight clustering of trader odds at 78% combined for 19–21°C outcomes. This reflects an incoming cool front with southerly winds and decreasing clouds after warmer conditions earlier in the week (near 27°C on April 2), typical of autumn cooling in the humid subtropical climate. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on cloud cover persistence and sea breeze strength, which could nudge peaks 1–2°C higher or lower; historical April variability supports this uncertainty. Watch for daily 00Z/12Z model updates resolving discrepancies before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions