Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月3日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
4月3日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
28°C 33%
29°C或更高 31%
27°C 22%
26°C 15%
$41,246 交易量
$41,246 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C或更高
31%
28°C 33%
29°C或更高 31%
27°C 22%
26°C 15%
$41,246 交易量
$41,246 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C或更高
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions