Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside updates from AccuWeather and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15-16°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated afternoon showers, driving the strong 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher. This reflects a rebound from today's cooler high near 12°C amid a passing low-pressure system, as upper-level ridging builds over central Turkey, favoring mild spring norms where early April averages hover around 14-17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this data-backed warming trend, though minor model discrepancies leave slim odds for 11°C if cloud cover persists; watch MGM's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 8%
10°C 1.1%
9°C 1.0%
$27,337 交易量
$27,337 交易量
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
88%
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 8%
10°C 1.1%
9°C 1.0%
$27,337 交易量
$27,337 交易量
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside updates from AccuWeather and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15-16°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated afternoon showers, driving the strong 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher. This reflects a rebound from today's cooler high near 12°C amid a passing low-pressure system, as upper-level ridging builds over central Turkey, favoring mild spring norms where early April averages hover around 14-17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this data-backed warming trend, though minor model discrepancies leave slim odds for 11°C if cloud cover persists; watch MGM's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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