Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 13°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) short-range forecasts indicating cloudy conditions and cool northerly flow suppressing highs. Divergence among outcomes stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover persistence, with some runs showing partial clearing that could push toward 15–16°C; recent 24-hour updates shifted odds cooler from prior 15°C favoritism amid a passing frontal system. Climatological April 5 highs average 15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Watch MGM and model refreshes at 00Z/12Z for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
14°C 34%
13°C 24%
15°C 17%
16°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
24%
14°C
29%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
7%
14°C 34%
13°C 24%
15°C 17%
16°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C or below
$449 交易量
<1%
8°C
$734 交易量
<1%
9°C
$896 交易量
1%
10°C
$209 交易量
2%
11°C
$239 交易量
2%
12°C
$234 交易量
6%
13°C
$665 交易量
24%
14°C
$287 交易量
29%
15°C
$348 交易量
17%
16°C
$345 交易量
13%
17°C or higher
$542 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 13°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) short-range forecasts indicating cloudy conditions and cool northerly flow suppressing highs. Divergence among outcomes stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover persistence, with some runs showing partial clearing that could push toward 15–16°C; recent 24-hour updates shifted odds cooler from prior 15°C favoritism amid a passing frontal system. Climatological April 5 highs average 15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Watch MGM and model refreshes at 00Z/12Z for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,928結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 13°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) short-range forecasts indicating cloudy conditions and cool northerly flow suppressing highs. Divergence among outcomes stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover persistence, with some runs showing partial clearing that could push toward 15–16°C; recent 24-hour updates shifted odds cooler from prior 15°C favoritism amid a passing frontal system. Climatological April 5 highs average 15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Watch MGM and model refreshes at 00Z/12Z for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,928結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 13°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) short-range forecasts indicating cloudy conditions and cool northerly flow suppressing highs. Divergence among outcomes stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover persistence, with some runs showing partial clearing that could push toward 15–16°C; recent 24-hour updates shifted odds cooler from prior 15°C favoritism amid a passing frontal system. Climatological April 5 highs average 15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Watch MGM and model refreshes at 00Z/12Z for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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