Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 交易量
$127,165 交易量
2026-05-02
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 交易量
$127,165 交易量
2026-05-02
28°C or below
$3,850 交易量
No
29°C
$3,215 交易量
No
30°C
$6,988 交易量
No
31°C
$9,050 交易量
No
32°C
$6,009 交易量
No
33°C
$28,424 交易量
Yes
34°C
$9,050 交易量
No
35°C
$42,922 交易量
No
36°C
$9,396 交易量
No
37°C
$3,531 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$4,729 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$127,165結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$127,165結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions