Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 交易量
$35,690 交易量
2026-05-03
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 交易量
$35,690 交易量
2026-05-03
29°C or below
$6,824 交易量
No
30°C
$1,348 交易量
No
31°C
$1,033 交易量
No
32°C
$1,898 交易量
No
33°C
$1,895 交易量
No
34°C
$2,412 交易量
No
35°C
$1,820 交易量
No
36°C
$8,233 交易量
No
37°C
$1,648 交易量
No
38°C
$4,193 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$4,387 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$35,690結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,690結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions