Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 交易量
$48,150 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 交易量
$48,150 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions