**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 交易量
$81,305 交易量
2026-05-04
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 交易量
$81,305 交易量
2026-05-04
28°C or below
$15,524 交易量
No
29°C
$5,144 交易量
No
30°C
$3,764 交易量
No
31°C
$2,913 交易量
No
32°C
$3,073 交易量
No
33°C
$4,359 交易量
No
34°C
$3,675 交易量
Yes
35°C
$17,138 交易量
No
36°C
$15,458 交易量
No
37°C
$8,021 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$2,238 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$81,305結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$81,305結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions