Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on May 6?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$104,946 交易量
$104,946 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$104,946 交易量
$104,946 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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