Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,902 交易量
$57,902 交易量
2026-06-13
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,902 交易量
$57,902 交易量
2026-06-13
34°C or below
$17,873 交易量
Yes
35°C
$9,346 交易量
No
36°C
$6,936 交易量
No
37°C
$6,669 交易量
No
38°C
$5,993 交易量
No
39°C
$3,829 交易量
No
40°C
$2,755 交易量
No
41°C
$1,562 交易量
No
42°C
$1,160 交易量
No
43°C
$1,371 交易量
No
44°C or higher
$409 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$57,902結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,902結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions