India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月10日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
35°C或以下 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 交易量
$27,628 交易量
35°C或以下
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C
否
45°C或以上
否
35°C或以下 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 交易量
$27,628 交易量
35°C或以下
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C
否
45°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions