Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月3日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
5月3日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
34°C或以下 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$56,768 交易量
$56,768 交易量
2026-05-03
34°C或以下
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C或更高
否
34°C或以下 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$56,768 交易量
$56,768 交易量
2026-05-03
34°C或以下
$8,519 交易量
是
35°C
$5,540 交易量
否
36°C
$6,464 交易量
否
37°C
$6,442 交易量
否
38°C
$9,358 交易量
否
39°C
$7,874 交易量
否
40°C
$3,054 交易量
否
41°C
$2,936 交易量
否
42°C
$2,065 交易量
否
43°C
$2,385 交易量
否
44°C或更高
$2,130 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$56,768結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$56,768結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions